Bracketology 3/15/24 – Penultimate Projections

Edit 7:04 PM Pacific: An earlier version of this graphic listed Creighton and Morehead State multiple times. Iowa State-Akron is the 3-14 matchup in the Midwest. Thanks to Twitter user @CFBChampsLeague for catching it, go give him a follow.

These projections were made having taken into account all results through the Northwestern-Wisconsin game on Friday. Feel free to hit me up on Twitter @JakeLiker as per usual if you have any questions. I need to go touch grass now. See you all on Sunday for the final projections! Seed list is below. Some quick hits before we part:

• The winner of Baylor vs Iowa State tonight will almost certainly be a 2-seed. The loser might be a 2 as well, depending on what Marquette does
• I am extremely wary of Pitt‘s nonconference schedule
• North Carolina is now in the driver’s seat for the last 1-seed
• The cutline is razor-thin. Seton Hall and Colorado could easily be in the tournament. Texas A&M is firmly in that conversation as well, though the Aggies’ five quad-3 losses will probably keep them out of the Big Dance if they lose to Kentucky tonight
• Northwestern is clinging to a 9-seed, and could drop to a 10 depending on what their NET looks like tomorrow

Seed List

1 1 Purdue
2 1 Houston
3 1 UConn
4 1 North Carolina
5 2 Tennessee
6 2 Arizona
7 2 Marquette
8 2 Baylor
9 3 Iowa State
10 3 Creighton
11 3 Duke
12 3 Kansas
13 4 Kentucky
14 4 Alabama
15 4 Illinois
16 4 Auburn
17 5 South Carolina
18 5 BYU
19 5 San Diego State
20 5 Texas Tech
21 6 Wisconsin
22 6 Clemson
23 6 Saint Mary’s
24 6 Utah State
25 7 Gonzaga
26 7 Dayton
27 7 Nevada
28 7 Washington State
29 8 Boise State
30 8 Colorado State
31 8 Florida
32 8 Texas
33 9 Florida Atlantic
34 9 Nebraska
35 9 Mississippi State
36 9 Northwestern
37 10 TCU
38 10 Michigan State
39 10 Oklahoma
40 10 St. John’s
41 11 Drake
42 11A Providence
43 11A Virginia
44 11B New Mexico
45 11B Indiana State
46 11 VCU
47 12 James Madison
48 12 Grand Canyon
49 12 Princeton
50 12 South Florida
51 13 McNeese
52 13 Samford
53 13 UC Irvine
54 13 Vermont
55 14 Col. of Charleston
56 14 Akron
57 14 Oakland
58 14 Morehead State
59 15 Colgate
60 15 Western Kentucky
61 15 South Dakota State
62 15 Quinnipiac
63 16 Longwood
64 16 Norfolk State
65 16A Stetson
66 16A Montana State
67 16B Grambling State
68 16B Wagner